Investors are now keenly awaiting the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report on Friday, which could provide clues on inflation and influence the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates.
If the data indicates cooling inflation, it could fuel expectations of a rate cut, potentially boosting gold prices. Until then, gold is likely to trade within a tight range as traders weigh economic concerns against market sentiment.
Silver Struggles Below $32 Amid Economic Uncertainty
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading at $31.76, after touching an intra-day low of $31.54, pressured by a strong US Dollar and rising Treasury yields. Like gold, silver is also experiencing selling pressure as investors turn to riskier assets amid a bullish equity market.
However, ongoing economic uncertainty and speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts are preventing a steeper decline.
Key Economic Events to Watch
Traders are focused on the US PCE Price Index due on Friday, which could impact the Fed’s interest rate decisions. Other key economic reports this week include Q4 GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Weekly Jobless Claims.
If the data supports a weaker economic outlook, it could increase the probability of a rate cut, potentially providing support for both gold and silver.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,895.37, down 0.01%, showing some hesitation just below the Pivot Point at $2,920.52. The price is currently under pressure, with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,918.57 acting as resistance. If gold breaks above $2,920.52, it could gain bullish momentum, targeting the next resistance levels at $2,956.68 and $2,985.93.
On the downside, immediate support is at $2,864.54, with a stronger floor at $2,834.26. If prices dip below $2,864.54, a more significant decline could follow, potentially testing the 200 EMA at $2,839.91.
For now, the trend remains bearish below $2,920.52, but a break above this level would shift the momentum back to the bulls.