Fundamental Overview
Last week, copper had a great performance following the easing in trade war fears. In fact, we tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China weighed on the market initially but as we got the pause in tariffs for Canada and Mexico following positive talks, the market bounced back strongly.
The positive sentiment continued throughout the week as China went with just a very soft retaliation against the US tariffs suggesting that there is no interest in a trade war.
Copper Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Copper Daily
On the daily chart, we can see that copper is now approaching the key 4.69 resistance. This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the resistance to position for a pullback into the major trendline. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into the 5.17 level next.
Copper Technical Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe
Copper 4 hour
On the 4 hour chart, we can see that we have a minor upward trendline defining the current bullish momentum on this timeframe. The buyers will likely continue to lean on it to push into new highs, while the sellers will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into the major trendline.
Copper Technical Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe
Copper 1 hour
On the 1 hour chart, there’s not much we can add here as the buyers will look for a bounce on the trendline, while the sellers will look for a break. The red lines define the average daily range for today.
Upcoming Catalysts
Tomorrow, we have Fed Chair Powell speaking. On Wednesday, we get the US CPI report. On Thursday, we have the US PPI and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude with the US Retail Sales data.