- Fidelity’s global macro director says the uptrend in US equites “feels like late innings”
- Wall Street Journal on ‘what we know’ about Trump’s reciprocal tariffs
- Trump says “we’ll see” when asked if reciprocal tariffs are coming Wednesday
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic speaks on Wednesday
- US CPI data due Wednesday, here are the ranges of estimates (why they’re crucial to know)
- SEK traders heads up – Riksbank Deputy Governor Aino Bunge speaks on Wednesday
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand preview – likely the final 50bp interest rate cut
- Bank of Japan Governor Ueda will monitor the impact of US tariff and immigration policies
- Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Greene speaking on Wednesday
- Bank of Japan Governor Ueda has not said much at all so far
- South Korea will hold an ‘export strategy meeting’ next week to discuss new Trump tariffs
- Bank of Japan Governor Ueda says will conduct monetary policy appropriately
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1710 (vs. estimate at 7.2971)
- Japan’s Foreign Trade Council says USD 1tln investment plan in the US is challenging
- Will Bank of Japan Governor Ueda rescue the JPY? Speaking at 5 past the hour
- Australian Q4 New home lending +1.4% q/q
- Bank of Japan Governor Ueda will be speaking Wednesday, February 12, 2025
- Japan Industry Minister requested the US exclude Japan from steel & aluminium tariffs
- More info on US 25% steel tariffs would stack on other levies on Canada
- Bitcoin today by TradeCompass
- Japan’s fin min Kato says will assess, respond to US tariffs
- US media report says its all over for Powell – ‘lame duck’, but he’ll still serve his term
- White House says 25% steel tariffs would stack on top of other levies
- NVDA Stock Analysis: Crucial Juncture for Traders
- Trump trade adviser: Australia ‘killing aluminium market’ – blow to tariff exemption hope
- More from Fed’s Williams – says he is less worried about inflation expectations
- Summers: Very real possibility the next Fed move is going to be upwards on interest rates
- MUFG analysts forecast that USD/JPY could decline to 140
- Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 12 February, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
- More from Fed’s Williams: The longer run trends are more neutral for inflation
Yen crosses rose today. USD/JPY hit highs above 153.70 in a more or less steady grind higher. There was no fresh news nor data.
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda spoke in parliament but didn’t add anything new or interesting. Rate hikes/policy normalisation will depend on developments in the economy, he said. He was perhaps not as un-dovish (hawkish is probably too strong a word to use for Ueda) as expected, contributing to yen weakness (I think I’m back fitting a narrative here, take with a grain of salt).
The yield on 10 year Japanese Government Bonds rose to their highest since February of 2011.
Elsewhere across major FX there is not a lot of net change on the session.
Head of the New York branch of the Federal Reserve, John Williams, spoke during the US afternoon and added a little more into early Asia. In a nutshell he said monetary policy is right where it should be, and is mildly restrictive.
In a head-in-the-sand comment he said its hard to say if uncertainty issues are weighing on economy. Perhaps he should be thinking if the ‘uncertainty issues’ are boosting the economy? Opinions may differ depending on what side of the political fence you’ve planted your flag, but the volatile environment of on then off then on again (and round and round we go) economy-related policies are not conducive to business planning, such as capex and what have you. The stock market seems sanguine enough, though.